Epi
Negative Predictive Value
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Negative Predictive Value
See Also
Screening Test
Contingency Grid
or
Cross Tab
(includes
Statistics Example
)
Bayes Theorem
(
Bayesian Statistics
)
Fagan Nomogram
Experimental Error
(
Experimental Bias
)
Lead-Time Bias
Length Bias
Selection Bias
(
Screening Bias
)
Likelihood Ratio
(
Positive Likelihood Ratio
,
Negative Likelihood Ratio
)
Number Needed to Screen
(
Number Needed to Treat
,
Absolute Risk Reduction
,
Relative Risk Reduction
)
Positive Predictive Value
Pre-Test Odds
or
Post-Test Odds
Receiver Operating Characteristic
Test Sensitivity
(
False Negative Rate
)
Test Specificity
(
False Positive Rate
)
U.S. Preventive Services Task Force Recommendations
Definition
Patients with negative test that do not have disease
P(No Disease | negative test )
Assesses reliability of negative test
Indications
Puts
Test Sensitivity
in context of disease
Prevalence
Lower disease
Prevalence
results in higher NPV
Test Sensitivity
effect minimized at low
Prevalence
False Negative
s decrease substantially
Results in more reliable negative test
Calculation
NPV = (True negative) / (true and
False Negative
s)
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